Description：ThreeHundredEight.com skip to main | skip to sidebar Friday, February 10, 2017 Census shows Conservatives still hold sway in Canada's fastest growing regions With the West leading the country in popul
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ThreeHundredEight.com skip to main | skip to sidebar Friday, March 31, 2017 The Pollcast: What to watch for in Monday's byelections The five federal byelections being held on Monday are not expected to be nail-biters. They are taking place in traditionally safe seats for the incumbent Conservatives and Liberals. But there are still some things to watch for when the votes are counted. You can listen to the podcast here, subscribe to future episodes here, and listen to past episodes here. The byelections are being held to fill the seats vacated by Stéphane Dion (Saint-Laurent), Mauril Bélanger (Ottawa–Vanier), John McCallum (Markham–Thornhill), Jason Kenney (Calgary Midnapore) and Stephen Harper (Calgary Heritage). In the 2015 election, the closest contest of these (Markham–Thornhill) was still decided by a margin of 23 points — so a change in the seat count is not expected. But there are a few questions that the byelections can help answer. Will the Liberals be hurt by the controversies surrounding the nomination processes in Markham–Thornhill and Saint-Laurent? Has the Conservative leadership race helped attract new support to the party, or has it put voters off? And will the NDP do better than the last byelection that was held, when the party finished with just one per cent of the vote? I'm joined by the National Post's David Akin to discuss. You can listen to the podcast here, subscribe to future episodes here, and listen to past episodes here. Posted by éric at 8:19:00 AM 7 comments: Email ThisBlogThis!Share to TwitterShare to FacebookShare to Pinterest Labels: Canadian Politics, Pollcast Tuesday, March 28, 2017 Erin O'Toole winning Conservative caucus as it shuns leadership front-runners Bernier, O'Leary More than two-thirds of the Conservative caucus has gotten behind one of the 14 candidates for the party's top job. Most are supporting either Erin O'Toole or Andrew Scheer — and O'Toole has now surpassed Scheer as the favourite of Conservatives in the House of Commons, even luring two of Scheer's former backers to his side. But polls and other metrics suggest Maxime Bernier or Kevin O'Leary are leading the pack. If either of them wins, they could find themselves at the head of a Conservative caucus that overwhelmingly preferred someone else. You can read the rest of this article here. Posted by éric at 10:10:00 AM 10 comments: Email ThisBlogThis!Share to TwitterShare to FacebookShare to Pinterest Labels: 2017 CPC Leadership, Canadian Politics Sunday, March 26, 2017 NDP leadership debate to focus on young Canadians and how to win them back New Democrats vying for their party's leadership will gather in Montreal on Sunday for a debate focused exclusively on issues relating to Canada's youth — a demographic that swung in large numbers from the NDP to the Liberals in the 2015 federal election. It'll include the four candidates currently in the running for the party leadership: Ontario MP Charlie Angus, Manitoba MP Niki Ashton, Quebec MP Guy Caron and B.C. MP Peter Julian. You can read the rest of this article here. Posted by éric at 11:05:00 AM 4 comments: Email ThisBlogThis!Share to TwitterShare to FacebookShare to Pinterest Labels: 2017 NDP leadership race, Canadian Politics Thursday, March 23, 2017 The Pollcast: The politics of the budget In the budget presented by Finance Minister Bill Morneau on Wednesday, the Liberal government laid out its plans for the future of Canada's economy, with a focus on skills training and innovation. But some of those plans extend to well after the 2019 federal election. The calculations the Liberals have baked into the budget could be at the whim of what happens in the interim, including changes in the world economy and the unpredictability of Donald Trump's presidency. You can listen to the podcast here, subscribe to future episodes here, and listen to past episodes here. So how does the budget position the Liberals politically? Does it give them something to sell to voters between now and 2019? Will the government's plan to stay in deficit well into the next decade hamstring the Liberals and give the opposition parties a vulnerability to exploit? To break down the politics of Budget 2017, I'm joined by the CBC's David Cochrane, Catherine Cullen and Susan Lunn. You can listen to the podcast here, subscribe to future episodes here, and listen to past episodes here. Posted by éric at 3:48:00 PM 9 comments: Email ThisBlogThis!Share to TwitterShare to FacebookShare to Pinterest Labels: Canadian Politics Leitch slides, O'Leary gains in Conservative Leadership Index Kellie Leitch is falling back and Kevin O'Leary is moving forward in their bids to lead the Conservative Party, according to the latest update to the Conservative Leadership Index. Fellow contenders Andrew Scheer and Erin O'Toole also improved their standings in the index thanks to some key political endorsements. The index is a composite of four leadership race metrics (endorsements, contributors, fundraising and polls) that has been developed to help gauge the state of the 14-candidate race to replace Stephen Harper as the party's permanent leader. You can read the rest of this article here. Posted by éric at 10:19:00 AM 14 comments: Email ThisBlogThis!Share to TwitterShare to FacebookShare to Pinterest Labels: 2017 CPC Leadership, Canadian Politics Monday, March 20, 2017 Alberta, Quebec could carry more weight in NDP leadership race than in 2012 When New Democrats last voted to select a new leader in 2012, most of the party's eligible voting members were in British Columbia and Ontario. An analysis of NDP donors suggests these two provinces will again carry the most weight in this year's leadership vote, but that Quebec and Alberta might be more important than they were five years ago. The party did not provide a breakdown of its current membership, but looking at the regional distribution of NDP donors provides clues to how the profile of that membership might have changed since 2012 — and what that might mean for the four candidates currently in the running. You can read the rest of this article here. Posted by éric at 7:29:00 AM No comments: Email ThisBlogThis!Share to TwitterShare to FacebookShare to Pinterest Labels: 2017 NDP leadership race, Canadian Politics Wednesday, March 15, 2017 The Pollcast: The race for the NDP leadership is on The four candidates for the NDP leadership debated for the first time on Sunday. The event kicked off a race that has been dormant for nearly a year. It won't come to a conclusion until October, when New Democrats decide who should replace Tom Mulcair as their leader. The debate was a collegial affair. But did it provide any clues as to how this campaign might play out for the next seven months? Unlike the Conservative leadership race, which has 14 candidates in the running, so far the NDP has a more manageable group to showcase: MPs Charlie Angus, Niki Ashton, Guy Caron and Peter Julian. But that group may grow soon. To help navigate...
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